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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: March 31st, 2025

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  • users [can] retain access to messages even after logging out of the platform
    

    This sounds great. Nothing bad could happen here. I’m sure the people developing this are competent.

    the article says:

    Further, if users want to retain access to messages even after logging out of the platform, they must set up a recovery key, which the installation manual suggests storing in a password manager.

    this is standard matrix thing. if you log out of matrix and don’t do that, you’re greeted with Unable to decrypt message after next login. this is because it’s on-prem matrix instance (or instances) with mandatory 2fa (freeotp is an option) and registration process tying matrix identity to national id, and it’s intended only for public administration internal use. you can’t just walk up and register you have to work there, and as their threat model is about phishing, this does make sense






  • people see strait closed and think of oil because of course there’s a lot of oil going through it, but oil can be routed through pipelines outside gulf so impact on oil is less than that 20% commonly cited

    the bigger impact is on gas, because it can’t be transported that easily and it’s closer to 40% of supply. because gas is so hard to transport you can try to avoid doing that, so it’s turned into fertilizer and diesel and aluminum, whose transport is easier, and isn’t as constrained as LNG transport. byproduct of gas mining is helium and it can’t be mined on its own, and while valuable enough to be flown out of qatar supply stops when gas stops. gulf royals have seen that world tries to get rid of oil, so this energy intensive manufacture was intended as a sort of hedge or insurance, but this too stops without transport

    so, yeah. things that can be expected to directly get more expensive are energy in general and gas in particular, plastics of all kinds, aluminum, nitrogen fertilizer and to some degree phosphorus fertilizer (uses sulfur as input). and everything that depends on them, which is broadly everything. the only winning move is not to play ie use renewables for energy. these chinese officials who backed renewables buildout are probably the most vindicated people in hemisphere

    that said, you can make fertilizer from other fuels, and in other places too, so it’s likely that it will “just” get more expensive, and lower nitrogen use might work about as well because many farmers overapply it. if you are a westerner i guess you might not see it hitting you too hard, but in places like sudan that will be a problem