Predictions in running usually age badly. Either they overestimate how fast the sport changes, or they underestimate how stubborn it can be. The truth tends
  1. Cape Town becomes a World Marathon Major, and Shanghai follows not long after
  2. A woman runs 2:10 or low-2:11, and the record conversation turns uncomfortable again
  3. Kipchoge wins another marathon, just not one of the biggest ones
  4. London passes 60,000 finishers, and New York refuses to be second
  5. The men’s marathon stays just above two hours
  6. Nike releases another shoe that makes everyone argue again
  7. Strava becomes a coaching platform, and Runna fades into the background
  8. Kiplimo’s half marathon record never gets fully signed off
  • Bruncvik@lemmy.world
    2·
    17 days ago

    Cape Town set itself back with how they mishandled this year’s cancellation. I also don’t think there’s any chance of a new women record. The rest looks like pretty safe predictions.